Sector · updated October 12, 2026

Oil sands and petrochemical projects

7 tracked projects. Oil sands expansions, turnarounds and Heartland petrochemicals, with dates and owners.

ProjectProvinceSectorStatusNext milestoneDisclosed cost
Dow Path2ZeroAlbertaPetrochemicalConstruction proceeding after the 2025 pausePhase 1 late 2029; Phase 2 end of 2030~US$7.5B
Cenovus Christina Lake interconnectAlbertaOil sandsAER notice Sep 15Statement-of-concern deadline Oct 15; construction mid-2027; startup Q4 2028—
Fall oil sands and refinery turnaroundsAlbertaTurnarounds—Spring 2027 turnaround planning—
Shell Polaris CCS and Atlas hubAlbertaCarbon captureUnder construction (Alberta Major Projects); Shell projected a peak of about 400 workers in Q4 2025–Q1 2026Operations toward the end of 2028—
Air Products net-zero hydrogen complexAlbertaHydrogenUnder construction (Alberta Major Projects)Completion 2027 (provincial schedule)C$4.6B (Alberta Major Projects)
Canadian Natural growth projects (on hold)AlbertaOil sandsOn hold until definitive Oil Sands Alliance–Alberta–federal agreements are finalizedAgreements targeted November 2026—
Suncor Base Mine Extension (proposed)AlbertaOil sandsEarly development; project descriptions filed with the AER and Impact Assessment AgencyImpact assessment; Suncor choosing among supply options—

See all 50 tracked projects

The full brief is in the October 2026 report: the procurement packages to watch, the buyer and contractor contacts, the dates on the 90-day calendar and how this project ties into the rest of the pipeline.

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